Greater Cambridge Local Plan: Proposed Submission
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Greater Cambridge Local Plan: Proposed Submission
Policy S/SH: Settlement hierarchy
Representation Summary:
SmithsonHill recognises that plans will often seek to develop an understanding of their settlements and the associated hierarchy. However, the settlement hierarchy is being applied too rigidly if it results in locations being discounted notwithstanding their relationship with major employment destinations and existing or planned sustainable transport infrastructure. In a rural area containing dispersed but substantial employment campuses, the sustainability of a location cannot sensibly be assessed solely by reference to the services contained within an individual village boundary. The relevant question is also how effectively that location connects residents to employment, services and wider transport networks.
In this context, the Councils’ settlement hierarchy methodology does not provide a sufficiently robust basis for determining the relative sustainability of rural settlements or the scale of growth that they should accommodate.
Change suggested by respondent:
A sound approach would reassess the hierarchy on a more connectivity-led basis, giving consistent and transparent weight to existing and planned sustainable transport, proximity to major employment concentrations and services shared between functionally related settlements.
Full text:
Across these strategic priorities, the plan rightly identifies the importance of locating development so as to reduce the need to travel, providing homes close to jobs and services, supporting Greater Cambridge’s internationally important economy and reducing reliance on the private car. Those objectives are consistent with the December 2024 NPPF. Paragraphs 108-110 of the NPPF require transport issues to be considered from the earliest stages of plan-making; opportunities to promote walking, cycling and public transport to be identified and pursued; significant development to be focused on locations which are or can be made sustainable; and patterns of development to minimise the number and length of journeys required for employment and other purposes.
Those requirements are important in Greater Cambridge because the geography of economic activity is not confined to Cambridge City itself. The Rural Southern Cluster contains a concentration of nationally and internationally significant research and employment activity, including the Wellcome Genome Campus (directly adjacent to the Site), Granta Park and Babraham Research Campus. The draft Plan itself proposes
substantial further employment growth within this cluster through some of its proposed allocations. A sound spatial strategy therefore needs to consider not simply the conventional hierarchy of existing settlements, but the functional geography of homes, employment and transport infrastructure.
SmithsonHill recognises that plans will often seek to develop an understanding of their settlements and the associated hierarchy. For the draft GCLP this is based on the Development Strategy Topic Paper 2026 Appendix 18: Settlement Hierarchy Study Update 2025. It is clearly right that new homes should be directed towards settlements which can offer high levels of amenity. However, the settlement hierarchy is being applied too rigidly if it results in locations being discounted notwithstanding their relationship with major employment destinations and existing or planned sustainable transport infrastructure. In a rural area containing dispersed but substantial employment campuses, the sustainability of a location cannot sensibly be assessed solely by reference to the services contained within an individual village boundary. The relevant question is also how effectively that location connects residents to employment, services and wider transport networks.
The plan fails to realise the potential of existing transport hubs in Cambridge’s Rural Southern Cluster, particularly where they demonstrate potential for growth in line with national policy. For example, the plan could group villages with campuses and/or travel hubs such as existing train stations and areas which are proposed to benefit from enhanced transport links.
At present, the land around Whittlesford Parkway, whilst allocated for some development (albeit we have concerns around the achievability of what is proposed, see SmithsonHill’s response to Policy S/AMC/WHD), has significant further potential owing to its proximity and connectivity to both the Babraham and Wellcome Genome Campuses, as well as the frequent connections into Cambridge City and London.
In this context, the Councils’ settlement hierarchy methodology does not provide a sufficiently robust basis for determining the relative sustainability of rural settlements or the scale of growth that they should accommodate, particularly given the blunt nature of the
scoring mechanism, with wide variations in score within each tier hierarchy and overlaps in scores between tiers. The Settlement Hierarchy Study acknowledges that classification is ultimately a matter of judgement, but does not establish transparent thresholds or criteria explaining when and why that judgement should override the quantitative assessment. The result is a hierarchy which is difficult to reproduce or objectively interrogate, notwithstanding the significant consequences that classification has for the spatial distribution and scale of development.
This weakness is compounded by the way in which the methodology conceptualises rural sustainability. Most of the available score relates to services, facilities and employment associated with the settlement itself, with relatively little for connectivity (and strategic rail connections in particular that the Government in its NPPF 2026 has said are an inherent starting point for residential development). This is particularly important in the Rural Southern Cluster, where major employment destinations are dispersed between locations such as the Wellcome Genome Campus, Granta Park and Babraham Research Campus and where Whittlesford Parkway provides existing strategic rail connectivity.
National policy does not require rural settlements to operate as isolated, self-contained units and expressly recognises that development in one village may support services in another (see NPPF para 83). A sound spatial strategy should therefore be based on evidence that assesses how settlements function as part of wider networks of homes, employment, services and sustainable transport, rather than principally according to what happens to fall within an individual settlement.
There are also inconsistencies in how functional relationships are recognised. The hierarchy expressly allows some settlements, including Great Shelford/Stapleford and Histon/Impington, to be considered together. There is no equivalent transparent methodology for determining when other settlement relationships should be recognised.
These deficiencies have consequences because the hierarchy feeds directly into the assessment of the spatial strategy and reasonable alternatives. The Sustainability Appraisal records negative accessibility effects for a number of village and Rural Southern Cluster options because they are not close to a centre recognised by the hierarchy, notwithstanding that many of the same locations perform positively in relation to public transport and, in the Rural Southern Cluster, proximity to employment.
There is therefore a risk of circularity: a well-connected settlement is placed lower in the hierarchy because the methodology gives insufficient weight to its wider functional relationships, and development at that settlement is subsequently assessed less favourably because it is not close to a higher-order centre defined by that same hierarchy.
This undermines the ability of the evidence base to demonstrate that Policy S/DS represents an appropriate strategy, taking into account the reasonable alternatives and based on proportionate evidence.
A sound approach would reassess the hierarchy on a more connectivity-led basis, giving consistent and transparent weight to existing and planned sustainable transport, proximity to major employment concentrations and services shared between functionally related settlements.
This would recognise that some rural locations perform a materially different strategic function because they combine:
• proximity to major existing and expanding employment campuses;
• access to existing rail or other high-quality public transport;
• opportunities for enhanced active-travel connections;
• the ability to support improved public transport between employment destinations; and
• sufficient development potential to provide additional services and facilities as part of planned growth.
Such locations should not be treated in the same way as otherwise comparable rural settlements which lack those characteristics. This does not necessarily mean abandoning the settlement hierarchy but requires recognition of the functional relationships which the Councils' own economic and transport strategies are seeking to strengthen.
Greater Cambridge Local Plan: Proposed Submission
Representation Summary:
This representation relates to Appendix D - Housing trajectory and five-year housing land supply calculation. It is noted that the GCSP Service has sought to apply the ‘Liverpool’ method to its 5YHLS calculation, having the effect of offsetting shortfalls in delivery against the latest (2026) standard method over the whole plan period from adoption (in 2028), rather than over the five-year period only (the ‘Sedgefield’ method). The GCSP Service admits that using an alternative approach would have led to only being able to demonstrate a marginal (5.03 years) 5YHLS on adoption of the plan in 2028. The 5.47 years’ supply on adoption considered a tentative position which carries significant risk of being challenged when considered in the context of its optimistic assumptions about the future deliverability of allocated sites and inclusion of a windfall allowance.
Change suggested by respondent:
The below changes need to be made to the housing trajectory:
1 A significantly increased buffer between the housing requirement (Policy S/JH) and stated supply needs to be incorporated to ensure delivery and to ensure the dGCLP (Reg 19) is positively prepared and effective.
2 More allocations must be made in the early years of the plan period to ensure that on adoption, when a 5YHLS cannot include a windfall allowance, the GCSP Service has enough sites to demonstrate a 5YHLS on adoption.
3 More realistic lead-in time and build-out rate assumptions need to be utilised to ensure there is no overconfidence by the GCSP Service with the “strength of the market” in light of both the blanket affordable housing policy across the whole area which will impact viability and the wider decline in market absorption rates slowing down market housing delivery.
4 To address the above, more sites for residential development will need to be allocated and included in this trajectory.
Full text:
This comment relates to Appendix D Housing Trajectory and 5YHLS
Please see attached document. The response includes tables, images and formatting that cannot be supported by this text box.
Greater Cambridge Local Plan: Proposed Submission
Representation Summary:
This representation relates to Appendix D - Housing trajectory and five-year housing land supply calculation. Given that windfall sites account for 425 homes per annum in the trajectory, this would remove 2,125 homes from supply in a given five-year period. The effects of such a reduction in assumed supply means the Council would be unable to demonstrate a 5YHLS until 2036/37 based on the scenarios presented in the table at A.2 of the HDSA 2026. Even if assuming that a 425 home-per-annum windfall supply were forthcoming on specific sites for the first three years of a given 5YHLS period, this would still amount to an 850-unit reduction in assumed supply over a given five-year period which GCSP will need to make up for as a matter of urgency if the plan is to be effective and the presumptions at NPPF 2026 policies S5(1)(j) or GB7(1)(g) avoided. On the basis of the above, the proposed trajectory would not be effective in maintaining a supply of deliverable housing sites and is not sound with reference to NPPF 2024 paragraph 36(c).
Change suggested by respondent:
The below changes need to be made to the housing trajectory:
1 A significantly increased buffer between the housing requirement (Policy S/JH) and stated supply needs to be incorporated to ensure delivery and to ensure the dGCLP (Reg 19) is positively prepared and effective.
2 More allocations must be made in the early years of the plan period to ensure that on adoption, when a 5YHLS cannot include a windfall allowance, the GCSP Service has enough sites to demonstrate a 5YHLS on adoption.
3 More realistic lead-in time and build-out rate assumptions need to be utilised to ensure there is no overconfidence by the GCSP Service with the “strength of the market” in light of both the blanket affordable housing policy across the whole area which will impact viability and the wider decline in market absorption rates slowing down market housing delivery.
4 To address the above, more sites for residential development will need to be allocated and included in this trajectory.
Full text:
This comment relates to Appendix D Housing Trajectory and 5YHLS
Please see attached document. The response includes tables, images and formatting that cannot be supported by this text box.
Greater Cambridge Local Plan: Proposed Submission
Representation Summary:
This representation relates to Appendix D - Housing trajectory and five-year housing land supply calculation. The HDSA 2026 suggests that comparatively low delivery in the earlier years of the plan as sites tend to need the Local Plan to be adopted before they can come forward through the planning application process and can be delivered. Whilst this principle is not necessarily disputed, this assumption appears to have been carried through to assume a four-year lead-in time from adoption of the plan to completions on as many as eight newly-allocated sites in 2032/33 totalling 655 units: 56% of the total amount of anticipated oversupply in the whole 2028/29 to 2032/33 period. This is highly ambitious and demonstrates further the precarity upon which any future 5YHLS position rests (notwithstanding that one is unlikely upon adoption).
Change suggested by respondent:
The below changes need to be made to the housing trajectory:
1 A significantly increased buffer between the housing requirement (Policy S/JH) and stated supply needs to be incorporated to ensure delivery and to ensure the dGCLP (Reg 19) is positively prepared and effective.
2 More allocations must be made in the early years of the plan period to ensure that on adoption, when a 5YHLS cannot include a windfall allowance, the GCSP Service has enough sites to demonstrate a 5YHLS on adoption.
3 More realistic lead-in time and build-out rate assumptions need to be utilised to ensure there is no overconfidence by the GCSP Service with the “strength of the market” in light of both the blanket affordable housing policy across the whole area which will impact viability and the wider decline in market absorption rates slowing down market housing delivery.
4 To address the above, more sites for residential development will need to be allocated and included in this trajectory.
Full text:
This comment relates to Appendix D Housing Trajectory and 5YHLS
Please see attached document. The response includes tables, images and formatting that cannot be supported by this text box.
Greater Cambridge Local Plan: Proposed Submission
Representation Summary:
This representation relates to Appendix D - Housing trajectory and five-year housing land supply calculation. SmithsonHill has more general concerns around the extent to which the housing trajectory can be relied upon as a forecast of supply in Greater Cambridge. the HDSA fails to acknowledge the significant variations in market fragments around Greater Cambridge, and the impact this has on deliverability of sites, particularly when there is a blanket affordable housing policy across the whole area. The HDSA fails to acknowledge the decline in market absorption rates referred to, which is in-turn slowing down market housing delivery. On this basis, SmithsonHill's view is that despite the additional evidence submitted, the fast lead-in times and the high build out rates of a number of the large-scale allocations are plainly unrealistic and therefore should be tempered.
Change suggested by respondent:
The below changes need to be made to the housing trajectory:
1 A significantly increased buffer between the housing requirement (Policy S/JH) and stated supply needs to be incorporated to ensure delivery and to ensure the dGCLP (Reg 19) is positively prepared and effective.
2 More allocations must be made in the early years of the plan period to ensure that on adoption, when a 5YHLS cannot include a windfall allowance, the GCSP Service has enough sites to demonstrate a 5YHLS on adoption.
3 More realistic lead-in time and build-out rate assumptions need to be utilised to ensure there is no overconfidence by the GCSP Service with the “strength of the market” in light of both the blanket affordable housing policy across the whole area which will impact viability and the wider decline in market absorption rates slowing down market housing delivery.
4 To address the above, more sites for residential development will need to be allocated and included in this trajectory.
Full text:
This comment relates to Appendix D Housing Trajectory and 5YHLS
Please see attached document. The response includes tables, images and formatting that cannot be supported by this text box.
Greater Cambridge Local Plan: Proposed Submission
Representation Summary:
This representation relates to Appendix D - Housing trajectory and five-year housing land supply calculation. It remains relevant that of the 52,032 homes identified in the dGCLP (Reg 19) for delivery over the plan period, more than 7,000 of these are windfalls. Of these, only 2,052 homes are on specific identified sites. Therefore, more than 5% of the dGCLP’s (Reg 19) housing requirement is future speculative, unidentified development. Whilst the principle of applying a windfall allowance is not disputed, such a significant portion of windfall supply leaves significant parts of the housing trajectory as unknowns. Consideration should be given to the potential of omissions sites, which could be strategically planned with accompanying policies, designed to meet the strategic goals of the plan that would facilitate a more joined-up approach to development for the 7,225 homes currently anticipated on unidentified windfall sites.
Change suggested by respondent:
The below changes need to be made to the housing trajectory:
1 A significantly increased buffer between the housing requirement (Policy S/JH) and stated supply needs to be incorporated to ensure delivery and to ensure the dGCLP (Reg 19) is positively prepared and effective.
2 More allocations must be made in the early years of the plan period to ensure that on adoption, when a 5YHLS cannot include a windfall allowance, the GCSP Service has enough sites to demonstrate a 5YHLS on adoption.
3 More realistic lead-in time and build-out rate assumptions need to be utilised to ensure there is no overconfidence by the GCSP Service with the “strength of the market” in light of both the blanket affordable housing policy across the whole area which will impact viability and the wider decline in market absorption rates slowing down market housing delivery.
4 To address the above, more sites for residential development will need to be allocated and included in this trajectory.
Full text:
This comment relates to Appendix D Housing Trajectory and 5YHLS
Please see attached document. The response includes tables, images and formatting that cannot be supported by this text box.
Greater Cambridge Local Plan: Proposed Submission
Representation Summary:
We previously noted that the SA should include alternative, higher, housing and job growth scenarios, so it is concerning to see that these have not been incorporated into the updated SA.
The Reg 19 plan is underpinned by an updated Sustainability Appraisal (July 2026), however this does not introduce any additional options for housing or employment growth quanta, instead ‘doubling down’ on the preferred approach underpinning the Policy S/JH.
Change suggested by respondent:
Policy S/JH should be entirely re-written to reflect a true ‘step change’ in economic circumstances with an appropriate job creation figure at Part 1a). Even if Part 1a) remains unchanged, these modest job growth aspirations must be matched by commensurate housing growth in order to represent sustainable development. As such, Part 1b) would need updating to reflect a housing requirement figure which is substantially uplifted to address this.
The implications are that the draft GCLP would need to identify additional allocations to meet the actual housing needs of Greater Cambridge.
Full text:
Please see attached document. The response includes tables, images and formatting that cannot be supported by this text box.
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