The following is a summary of the of the overarching representations submitted on behalf of Endurance Estates by Barton Willmore. The full report is appended to these site-specific representations for completeness.
The First Proposals draft Plan sets out that the Greater Cambridge Partnership will seek to deliver an objectively assessed need of 58,500 jobs and 44,400 (48,800 inc. 70% buffer) homes during 2020-2041. This represents the Councils' medium+ growth scenario, with the maximum growth scenario (78,700 jobs and 56,500 homes) being discounted on the basis that it does not reflect the most likely level of jobs growth when reflecting on long-term employment patterns.
Within paragraph 5.22 of the Councils' Employment Land and Economic Development Evidence Study, it is in fact recommended that a preferred range for jobs growth would be 'between a central and higher growth scenario'.
The 'central' growth scenario represents an annual average employment growth rate of 1.1%. This is significantly below other assessments of growth for the Districts. The CPIER report quotes ONS 2070-2076 average growth rates of 2.4% and 2.3% across the City and South Cambridgeshire respectively, whilst their own 'blended rate' shows rates of 2.4% (equal to ONS) and 4.2% (significantly more than ONS)
These figures suggest that the First Proposals are not planning for sufficient employment growth and therefore not enough housing to support it.
The employment and housing growth figures for the Local Plan through to 2041 should be revised upwards substantially, in order to accommodate the demonstrable growth potential of the Districts.